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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Long Island

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:179.0
Current RPI:179
Expected SOS:286
Current Record:20-13
Expected Record:20-13
Current Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-3
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:286
Expected OOC SOS:325


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1360.61%179.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Long Island.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Morehead St. (172.0)OVCH74-77L0%0.0
11-12Lafayette (153.0)PatA98-94L0%0.0
11-16Maryland (73.0)ACCA91-74L0%0.0
11-23Kentucky (56.0)SECA104-75L0%0.0
11-28Columbia (273.0)IvyH70-61W100%0.0
12-1Lafayette (153.0)PatH71-60W100%0.0
12-8Hofstra (325.0)CAAH88-84W100%0.0
12-12Rice (324.0)CUSAA70-97W100%0.0
12-16Manhattan (183.0)MAACH75-48W100%0.0
12-19St. Peter's (290.0)MAACA80-67L0%0.0
12-22Seton Hall (138.0)BEH58-89L0%0.0
12-29Lamar (335.0)SlndA81-80L0%0.0
1-3Sacred Heart (253.0)NECA77-73L0%0.0
1-5Quinnipiac (191.0)NECA82-74L0%0.0
1-10Wagner (126.0)NECH75-86L0%0.0
1-12Mount St. Mary's (121.0)NECH86-72W100%0.0
1-17Fairleigh Dickinson (299.0)NECA75-79W100%0.0
1-19Monmouth (282.0)NECH75-65W100%0.0
1-24St. Francis NY (207.0)NECA68-78W100%0.0
1-26Bryant (158.0)NECA78-79W100%0.0
1-31St. Francis PA (322.0)NECH82-62W100%0.0
2-2Robert Morris (132.0)NECH57-60L0%0.0
2-7Central Connecticut (200.0)NECA75-81W100%0.0
2-10St. Francis NY (207.0)NECH83-75W100%0.0
2-14Monmouth (282.0)NECA66-80W100%0.0
2-16Fairleigh Dickinson (299.0)NECH92-67W100%0.0
2-21Mount St. Mary's (121.0)NECA83-71L0%0.0
2-24Wagner (126.0)NECA94-92L0%0.0
2-28Sacred Heart (253.0)NECH70-68W100%0.0
3-2Quinnipiac (191.0)NECH96-90W100%0.0
3-6Quinnipiac (191.0)NECH91-83W100%0.0
3-9Wagner (126.0)NECA82-94W100%0.0
3-12Mount St. Mary's (121.0)NECH91-70W100%0.0